Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.032807 0.035230 0.037650 0.040244 0.042944 0.045667 0.048618
2025-09-07 0.027957 0.031792 0.035749 0.040122 0.044803 0.049650 0.055034
2025-09-14 0.024615 0.029217 0.034080 0.039569 0.045562 0.051876 0.059002
2025-09-21 0.022007 0.027137 0.032674 0.039039 0.046101 0.053647 0.062274
2025-09-28 0.019511 0.024972 0.030987 0.038020 0.045941 0.054514 0.064425
2025-10-05 0.018501 0.024397 0.030993 0.038809 0.047712 0.057440 0.068780
2025-10-12 0.017365 0.023586 0.030657 0.039142 0.048912 0.059683 0.072336
2025-10-19 0.016039 0.022468 0.029894 0.038921 0.049426 0.061109 0.074938
2025-10-26 0.015480 0.022230 0.030128 0.039826 0.051204 0.063944 0.079109
2025-11-02 0.014612 0.021562 0.029809 0.040044 0.052158 0.065817 0.082172
2025-11-09 0.013651 0.020728 0.029247 0.039937 0.052700 0.067194 0.084649
2025-11-16 0.012845 0.020046 0.028836 0.039980 0.053394 0.068724 0.087284
2025-11-23 0.011856 0.019131 0.028160 0.039747 0.053828 0.070039 0.089785
2025-11-30 0.010968 0.018318 0.027594 0.039644 0.054425 0.071564 0.092563
2025-12-07 0.009962 0.017287 0.026702 0.039095 0.054446 0.072383 0.094492
2025-12-14 0.009049 0.016327 0.025860 0.038568 0.054463 0.073170 0.096363
2025-12-21 0.008018 0.015140 0.024669 0.037557 0.053849 0.073175 0.097285
2025-12-28 0.007748 0.015029 0.024891 0.038341 0.055444 0.075823 0.101336
2026-01-04 0.007332 0.014678 0.024773 0.038671 0.056466 0.077775 0.104556
2026-01-11 0.006751 0.014046 0.024248 0.038452 0.056783 0.078862 0.106735
2026-01-18 0.006588 0.014042 0.024578 0.039349 0.058504 0.081657 0.110964
2026-01-25 0.006211 0.013684 0.024402 0.039566 0.059356 0.083385 0.113909
2026-02-01 0.005758 0.013177 0.023996 0.039460 0.059784 0.084586 0.116213